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Bitcoin cycle analysis

How many days from Bitcoin's top to the bottom?

In the three completed cycles the bottom came 406, 364 and 378 days after the top, and it sat 85, 83 and 77 percent below it. Every number on this page is counted from our own archive of daily prices since 2010, not copied from another site, and the page makes no forecast.

Days since the last top
355
top was 6 October 2025, price 124,777 USD
Below the top today
-32.6%
price of 25 September 2026, 84,039 USD

Day count updates by itself from one fixed date. The price is the latest reading in our daily market log, taken at 21:23 UTC, and is stamped with its date.

Where the past cycles stood on this same day

This is the comparison most pages skip. Take the number of days we are into this cycle and look up where the three previous cycles were on that exact day.

CycleOn day 343Below its topBottom came on day
2013 to 201524 Nov 2014-67.1%406
2017 to 20186 Dec 2018-81.9%364
2021 to 202229 Oct 2022-69.2%378
2025 to now25 Sep 2026-32.6%not known

The three completed rows recompute every day from the archived prices of those cycles. The last row is today. Read the gap between them however you like; we do not read it for you.

The completed cycles, charted

the top day 150 day 300 day 450 2013 to 2015 406 2017 to 2018 364 2021 to 2022 378 2025 to now 355 and counting
Days from each cycle top to the following low, counted between daily prices. The current cycle has no bottom yet, so its bar is open.
CycleTop (price)Bottom (price)DaysDrawdown
2013 to 20154 Dec 2013, 1,13714 Jan 2015, 172406-84.9%
2017 to 201816 Dec 2017, 19,28015 Dec 2018, 3,232364-83.2%
2021 to 20228 Nov 2021, 67,56221 Nov 2022, 15,760378-76.7%
2025 to now6 Oct 2025, 124,777not known355-32.6%

A cycle low can only be named in hindsight. The bottom row has no bottom for the simple reason that nobody can know one yet, and any page that fills that cell is guessing.

Why other sites show different dates and prices

You will find the last top quoted as 126,198 on 6 October 2025. We put the top on the same day and carry a different price, 124,777. You will find the 2021 top on 10 November, where we have 8 November. None of those are wrong, and neither are ours. They are intraday extremes from a single exchange. Ours are full-day prices.

We use full-day prices for one reason: they can be checked. An intraday print exists on one venue for one second. A full-day price is the same number for everyone who looks at the same day. It moves some dates by a day or two either side and moves the top by about 1,400 dollars, and it changes nothing about the shape: all three completed cycles still land between 364 and 406 days.

The 2013 top is the one that moves most between methods. Intraday sources put it on 30 November 2013. The highest full-day price came four days later, on 4 December. We use the full day, and we say so.

What this does not tell you

It does not tell you when this cycle bottoms. Three cycles are three data points, they differ by 42 days, and the market they traded in is not the market of 2015. Search this question and most results will name you a month. We will not, and that is deliberate.

It also does not tell you a price. We publish no price targets, in any format, ever. The bottom prices in the table are history, not a template.

How we count

Every price on this page is one price per UTC day from PulseHawk's own archive of 5,849 daily Bitcoin prices from 17 August 2010 to today, built from the blockchain.com market price series, which is a cross-exchange price for the whole day rather than one venue's closing trade. A cycle top is the highest price before the next cycle's top; a cycle bottom is the lowest price between two tops. Days are calendar days between those two prices, with the top day as day zero. The comparison table looks up each past cycle on the same day number and divides that day's price by that cycle's top.

Archive built once and appended daily. Nothing on this page is sourced from CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin Magazine or any other site's tables.

Questions people ask

How many days from Bitcoin's top to the bottom?

406, 364 and 378 days in the three completed cycles, counted between daily prices.

How far did it fall each time?

84.9, 83.2 and 76.7 percent, top price to bottom price. The drop got smaller each cycle. Whether that continues is not something three points can tell you.

When was the last cycle top?

6 October 2025, at a full-day price of 124,777 dollars.

When did Bitcoin bottom in previous cycles?

14 January 2015, 15 December 2018 and 21 November 2022, lowest full-day price each time.

Will the next bottom follow the same pattern?

Nobody knows, and this page does not guess. What the comparison table means is your call.

Where do the numbers come from?

Our own archive, 5,849 daily prices since 2010, from the blockchain.com market price series. Every date is in the tables above and can be checked against any daily chart in a couple of minutes. That is the point.